Warburton Capital’s Evidence-Based Investment Insights
The Full-Meal Deal of Diversification
So last week a buddy came in and said “Okay I get that markets are efficient and security prices established by market participants are probably accurate, but, can’t we add to our returns by buying only the few stocks recommended by the Motley Fool in the newspaper?” Oh boy…you can lead a horse to water…
Welcome to this the fourth installment in Warburton Capital Management’s series of Evidence-Based Investment Insights: The Full-Meal Deal of Diversification
In our last piece, “Financial Gurus and Other Unicorns,” we concluded our exploration of the formidable odds you face if you (or some stock broker) try to outsmart the market’s lightning-fast price-setting efficiencies. Today, we turn our attention to the many ways you can harness these and other market dynamics to work for you – rather than against you.
Among your most important financial friends is diversification. After all, what other single action can you take to simultaneously dampen your exposure to a number of investment risks while potentially improving your overall expected returns? While they may seem almost magical, the benefits of diversification have been well-documented and widely explained by some 60 years of academic inquiry. Its powers are both evidence-based and robust.
Global Diversification: Quantity AND Quality:
What is diversification? In a general sense, it’s about spreading your risks around. In investing, that means that it’s more than just ensuring you have many holdings, it’s also about having many different kinds of holdings. If we compare this to the adage about not putting all your eggs in one basket, an apt comparison would be to ensure that your multiple baskets contain not only eggs but also a bounty of fruits, vegetables, grains, meats and cheese.
While this may make intuitive sense, many investors come to us believing they are well-diversified when they are not. They may own a large number of stocks or stock funds across numerous accounts. But upon closer analysis, we find that the bulk of their holdings are concentrated in large-company U.S. stocks.
In future installments of our series, we’ll explore what we mean by different kinds of investments. But for now, think of a concentrated portfolio as the undiversified equivalent of many basketsful of plain, white eggs. Over-exposure to what should be only one ingredient among many in your financial diet is not only unappetizing, it can be detrimental to your financial health.
Lack of diversification:
- Increases your vulnerability to specific, avoidable risks
- Creates a bumpier, less reliable overall investment experience
- Makes you more susceptible to second-guessing your investment decisions
Combined, these three strikes tend to generate unnecessary costs, lowered expected returns and, perhaps most important of all, increased anxiety. You’re back to trying to beat instead of play along with a powerful market.
A World of Opportunities:
Instead, consider that there is a wide world of investment opportunities available these days from tightly managed mutual funds intentionally designed to facilitate meaningful diversification. They offer efficient, low-cost exposure to capital markets found all around the globe.
To best capture the full benefits that global diversification has to offer, we advise turning to the sorts of fund managers who focus their energies – and yours – on efficiently capturing the diversified dimensions of global returns.
In our last piece, we described why brokers or fund managers who are instead fixated on trying to beat the market are likely wasting their time and your money on fruitless activities. You may still be able to achieve diversification, but your experience will be hampered by unnecessary efforts, extraneous costs and irritating distractions to your resolve as a long-term investor. Who needs that, when diversification alone can help you have your cake and eat it too?
In our next installment of this twelve letter series, we’ll explore in more detail why diversification is sometimes referred to as one of the only “free lunches” in investing.
Trusting this will find you well and turning a deaf ear to the exciting recommendations of the Motley Fool – and others – we remain
Warburton Capital Management